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Monthly Archives: July 2018

MINORITY-FRIENDLY LEGISLATIVE PROPOSALS UNDER FIRE IN ROMANIA?

According to Mikó Imre Minority Rights Legal Aids Service, two legislative proposals containing minority-friendly provisions have recently been passed in the Romanian Parliament, both waiting to be officially signed by President Klaus Iohannis. One concerns an amendment to the 2011 Law on Education, which stipulates that a linguistic minority must be consulted whenever the issue of establishing, re-organising or closing an educational institution of that linguistic community is raised. This amendment is especially welcome by the Hungarian community in Romania, since it would preempt situations like the one of the Catholic school in Tîrgu Mure?/Marosvásárhely, the fate of which is still uncertain. However, the President has so far refused to promulgate the law, invoking a few passages in the text of the law that are ambiguous, according to Iohannis, including the term “linguistic minority”.

However, the President has so far refused to promulgate the law, invoking a few passages in the text of the law that are ambiguous, according to Iohannis, including the term “linguistic minority”.

We find it regrettable that the President, himself a member of a linguistic minority, namely the German/Sachsen community in Romania, would use his power to block a piece of legislation that would be beneficial to all minority communities in Romania.

The other proposal concerns the new Administrative Code, which contains certain passages that would advance the issue of linguistic rights for minorities. The Civic Forum of Romanians from Covasna, Harghita and Mure? Counties addressed a letter to President Klaus Iohannis, in which they asked him not to promulgate this law, because according to them it will undermine the status of Romanian as the official language of the country. As formulated by Erika Benkő, the head of the Mikó Imre Minority Rights Legal Services Assistance: “I find it unacceptable that in the 21st century someone can be disturbed by the fact that others use their mother tongue. The Hungarian community in Transylvania represents a cultural asset for Romania. It is very hurtful and also unacceptable that there are people who would like to curb our basic rights.”

(26. 07. 2018 via dailynewshungary.com)

Posted in Hungary from abroad - how others evaluate us |

US policy on Russia will not change, Polish FM says after talks with US official

Following a recent meeting between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Helsinki, after which Trump was accused of being soft on Russia, Czaputowicz said John Bolton assured him that there would be no shift in Washington’s attitude towards Moscow and that Polish and regional security would be guaranteed, IAR reported.

Czaputowicz also spoke to Bolton about military partnership, Russia’s planned Nord Stream 2 pipeline, and the Polish president’s future trip to the US.

Czaputowicz said the US was against Nord Stream 2, a pipeline which will send Russian gas to Germany via the Baltic Sea, bypassing Poland and other countries in the region, because the project will have negative geopolitical effects.

The project is also opposed by Poland.

The Polish foreign minister also said that Polish President Andrzej Duda will visit the White House later this year.

A decision on whether the US will boost its troop numbers in Poland is also expected later this year, Czaputowicz said.

“We are prepared to take part in the cost of developing infrastructure to accommodate American troops in Poland,” Czaputowicz told Polish Radio.

(27. 07. 2018 via thenews.pl)

Posted in Transatlantic relations |

Lecture III. – Małgorzata Bonikowska

One of our special guest is Małgorzata Bonikowska. Dr. Bonikowska will speak on Saturday (1st September) at 9:30.

Centre for International Relations /THINKTANK centre for dialogue and analysis

Political scientist and EU expert, President of Centre for International Relations (www.csm.org.pl) – a leading Polish independent think tank in foreign affairs – as well as a co-founder of the THINKTANK centre for dialogue and analysis (www.mttp.pl). She specializes in European studies and international affairs.

Graduated from University of Warsaw (Italian studies), University of Paris Sorbonne (history and political studies) and Polish Academy of Performing Arts (history of culture), she finished two Ph.D. programmes in Poland and abroad as well as attended specialisation studies at the School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA) at the Columbia University in New York, within the Fulbright Program.

Between the years 1995-1998, she was editor in the Polish Public Television,than moved the Polish Ministry of European Integration (UKIE) as director of the European Information Centre. In 2001-2007, she was working for the European Commission, chairing the EC’s Information and Communication Program, first in Poland and then in Bulgaria. In 2007, she was responsible for launching a government’s Human Resources Development Centre (CRZL)under the Ministry of Labour and Social Policies.

In the same time, Dr Bonikowska has been continuing academic career as a lecturer and researcher, tutor of MA and BA thesis, as well as a government advisor. She is an author of over a hundred publications.

images

Posted in News and events |

Lecture II. by Kai-Olaf Lang

There will be another interesting lecture at our summer seminar held by Kai-Olaf Lang on Friday (31st August 2018; 11.00-12.00).

Kai-Olaf Lang is a researcher (Senior Fellow) at the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) [Foundation for Science and Politics], Berlin. He is an expert on the foreign and security policies of Hungary, Poland, the Czech Republic, and Slovakia.

We are looking forward to Professor Lang’s analysis about the CEE region!

csm_Lang-Kai-Olaf_bf3801d6db

Posted in News and events |

Dús M. Pongrác: CHINESE DECISION-MAKING SYSTEM FOR INVESTMENT PLANNING

SUPERPOWERS COME AND GO

The last thousands of years taught us many things, of which there is something to examine when thinking about the leader states of present and future World. In history, humankind had many superpowers among all the people; those enjoying privileges never thought their position would be at risk. Their fortune helped them acquire wide borders for their countries, drive others into yoke, and benefit from not only their own, but other nations’ economy. However, ancient Egyptians, Chinese, Romans, German-Romans are all gone forever. The Nazis and the Soviets are also parts of the dark history, and yet, the United States of America had been the sole international rule-maker for only a bit more than a decade after the iron curtain fell.

Since then, the Russian Federation is hiking to the peak once again, and the Democratic Republic of China is stronger than ever before, and their goals are still dimensions above their present international influence. We can also take notice of a new and yet strange friendship in the Middle East, involving Turkey and Iran. These two are also stepping closer to Russia, but knowing their relations in history, it is still undecided what to predict in their mutual future.

 

THE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE, A PIXEL IN THE PICTURE

The vision of processes is much clearer, if we have a look at China. While for example Turkey, Iran, North Korea or Japan are taking actions to step forward in their regions, China – just as the USA and Russia – is dreaming for more. Not only dreaming, they are acting with more dynamism than any other power recently. The sum of China’s Foreign Direct Investments has been intensely growing in the past decades, reaching al time high in December 2017[1]. These data show us a clear picture of their intentions and endeavors; there must be a strong verdict and very strict implementation behind these processes.

As we Europeans hear about the New Belt and Road Initiative every day, we can easily mislead ourselves by thinking that this strategy is everything China is following now. And really, they put big effort into Belt and Road, as it is crucial for them to sell their goods to Europe and Asia to keep up their fast-growing, already seeming to be peaking economy, which is waited by many to collapse very soon[2]. Others, whose opinion is more comfortable to share for me, think that the superpower has its own tools to defend their budget.[3]

The BaR Initiative focuses on Eurasia, but this is simply a step forward in selling their goods mainly to developed European countries. Nowadays, when the EU rulers are starting to limit Chinese investment into the old continent, and also to withdraw investments and factories from China, we can clearly see that the main pillar of China’s future economy is not only this Initiative, but there have to be many more ideas in their books. Even if they are expected to reach huge incomes from the New Belt and Road Strategy, most of their hopes are relying on other parts of the World.

 

CLOSER TO THE OPPONENTS

China perceived very well how to strengthen their international economic influence in the 21st century. Not like a hundred years ago, today you can’t operate with aggression when making friends. As the Russians also turned their harsh behavior lower since the Cold War ended and started to manipulate media, China’s most important weapon is their generous dollar policy. Either planning for long-term, or optimizing present positions, they are always likely to use money to satisfy their intentions. One region to watch is the Caribbean, where they are building infrastructure for free, or by issuing free loans for the constructions. Clearly, they can’t really demand much from these new friends; Caribbean countries are small islands with small population and without too many natural resources. The Chinese government simply follows the Soviet Union by making close friends near to the United States. For that they don’t even have to fund guerrilla wars, only to spend some money for the benefit of ordinary people of the region[4].

 

EVEN CLOSER TO THE DOWNS OF TODAY, UPS OF TOMORROW

One region is even more important, as the basis of China’s future influence, and that is Africa. Western countries still keen to think of poor African countries as places to ignore. To where we have to send aid and support, and from where we will never get anything back (except some lucky businessmen who benefit from taking advantage of the poor people there – for example miners). China looks at them from the other side of the road, and from the other aspect of history. While Africa is an unsolved problem for Western civilization, it is the biggest possible opportunity for China. They think of these countries as those who will develop very fast soon, then vigorously join the international circulation of money.

And then, these countries will make friendships, and that’s what China perfectly found out. Why not to make friends before it seems to be out of interest? So they decided to fund constructions – building hospitals, schools, highways, ports – so intense that the continent had never seen before.

China sponsors students majoring in medicine, engineering, economics and journalism.These students tend to move home after their university studies, mainly because of Chinese visa policy. Therefore, it means no brain-drain for those countries who need experts the most. The country is very popular among African students, and they are grateful for the opportunity, without which they would probably never had graduated.Not like China, other countries keep good students after their studies, which further destructs Africa’s future. China sends them home, building a better – and of course China-friendly – Africa. Someday, the so-called black continent will be an equal partner to the developed world, over and above, with Chinese-speaking economic, political elites.

Africa is also the pathfinder of Chinese military spread, as the superpower opened its first ever military base abroad in Djibouti last year[5].

 

CONCLUSION

If we look back on the past two decades, when China quietly started to conquer the World, we conclude that their diplomacy, even if it’s not classical Scandinavian diplomacy, but maybe as effective, as the one of Sweden or Norway. The next two decades will answer us, whether China could keep up economically with its challenges – at home and abroad – or will struggle with its old population, big debt and maybe badly used foreign investments. My bet is on their success.

 

 

Sources:

https://tradingeconomics.com/china/foreign-direct-investment

https://www.business-standard.com/article/international/china-s-economy-on-brink-collapse-due-to-high-borrowing-chinese-bank-chief-117111100112_1.html

http://mckinseychina.com/5-reasons-why-chinas-economy-wont-collapse/

https://idsa.in/idsacomments/china-growing-influence-in-the-caribbean_sbmaharaj_030816

https://edition.cnn.com/2017/07/12/asia/china-djibouti-military-base/index.html

 

[1]https://tradingeconomics.com/china/foreign-direct-investment

[2]https://www.business-standard.com/article/international/china-s-economy-on-brink-collapse-due-to-high-borrowing-chinese-bank-chief-117111100112_1.html

[3]http://mckinseychina.com/5-reasons-why-chinas-economy-wont-collapse/

[4]https://idsa.in/idsacomments/china-growing-influence-in-the-caribbean_sbmaharaj_030816

[5]https://edition.cnn.com/2017/07/12/asia/china-djibouti-military-base/index.html

Posted in English |

TEL AVIV DIARY: TRUMP, NETANYAHU, ORBAN AND MORAWIECKI HAVE ONE THING IN COMMON—FEAR | OPINION

At 5:30 a.m. this morning, Rabbi Dov Hayun of Haifa’s Conservative Moriah Congregation was awakened by police knocking at his door, coming to detain him. What crime were they investigating? Hayun reportedly performed an unlawful wedding. Under Israel law it is illegal for anyone who is not a member of the Israeli Rabbinate to perform a Jewish wedding. Rabbi Hayun was released after agreeing to return next week for further questioning.

Former Prime Minister Ehud Barak wrote: “The craziness is out of control. The Prime Minister has turned into a dishrag. Arresting the Rabbi from Haifa because he performed a wedding under the rules of the Conservative movement is a stupid act that hurts the underpinnings of the ties between us and the Jewish people. It undermines the civil rights of every Israeli.”

It is fitting this arrest occurred hours after the Knesset approved the Jewish Nation-State Bill, and shortly after the Prime Minister of Europe’s leading “illiberal democracy,” Hungary, arrived for a two-day visit.

While Victor Orban has been very pro-Israel, he is also very much a Hungarian nationalist, and as such, has lauded the World War II Hungarian government of Miklós Horthy, who was complicit with the Nazis. Orban also attacked financier George Soros, who promotes liberal causes in his native Hungary, in a campaign dripping with traditional anti-Semitism.

Prior to their first meeting in Jerusalem, Orban said the “Excellent ties between Israel and Hungary are in large part the result of personal ties between two patriotic leaders.” Indeed the parallels between Benjamin Netanyahu and Orban, as well as the deepening of Israel’s ties with Hungary and Poland, and the concurrent passage of the Jewish Nation-State Laws, is not accidental; nor are the close relations between Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Donald J. Trump.

If you were to ask Netanyahu, he would say he is merely protecting Israel’s interests. Orban is a good friend of Israel, as is the current right-wing leadership in Poland, as is, of course, Donald Trump. However, the answer is not as simple as that. Part of the reason Netanyahu was reelected was due to his outcry on election day warning that “Arabs were being bussed to polling stations in droves.” Orban, Mateusz Morawiecki of Poland, as well as Trump, all use fear of immigrants; fear of the outsider, to gain and maintain their hold on power.

The Rabbis living in their self-made ghettos, who forced the Israeli government to pass a law criminalizing weddings performed by anyone outside their limited association, act out of similar motivations to those who needed to pass a law to reiterate the Jewish character of the Jewish state—or an American president who repeatedly attacks immigrants as criminals and potential rapists.

Historically, the non-liberal right-wing has risen or strengthened during times of economic difficulty. But here in Israel, as in much of the world, this has been a period of unprecedented economic growth. It is, however, that very economic growth and fear of the technology that underlies it, which may be the root cause of this illiberal rise.

The information revolution slowly taking place over past decades has reached a tipping point, now that we all have small powerful computers in our pockets. Rabbis who masterly overcame the tide of the enlightenment and were able to keep TV out of the homes of their disciples have been powerless to keep smartphones and the unfettered spread of information out the hands of their followers.

The Rabbis can no longer maintain a monopoly on the marketplace of ideas. So they use their political power to pass laws that infringe on the freedoms of the rest of the public. A right-wing government in Israel sees enemies everywhere, so they pass a law restating the obvious, despite the fact that doing so can only be seen as a gift to the enemies of the country.

The leaders of Poland and Hungary, whose countries’ economic well-being is due to their membership in the European Union, violate the very democratic principles upon which the EU is based, while Trump applauds from the sidelines. What do they all fear? They fear the very basic human truth that all mankind was created equal; that the differences between us are less than what ties us together. The national boundaries overcome by technology have made our equivalence clear—and that is what these leaders all fear. They fear a world they do not fully understand and a future they may not be able to control.

As an American-Israeli who cares deeply about both countries and believes in the virtues of a liberal world order, these have been difficult years. However, as a student of history, I take solace in the words of Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr., from 1957: “The road to freedom is a difficult, hard road. It always makes for temporary setbacks.”

Marc Schulman is a multimedia historian.

The views expressed in this article are the author’s own.??

(07. 18. 2018 via newsweek.com;MARC SCHULMAN)

Posted in Hungary from abroad - how others evaluate us |

Austria to propose moving asylum requests outside EU

Austria’s hardline interior minister Herbert Kickl said he would push to change the EU’s migration policy so it is no longer possible to make asylum requests on European soil.
“That would be a proposal,” the minister of the far-right FPOE party told journalists in Vienna on Tuesday.

Any other solution, he argued, “would encourage traffickers to say: ‘I take your money to bring you to the European Union because you are guaranteed the right to make a request for asylum, with a very, very weak probability of being sent back’.”

Austria currently holds the rotating EU presidency, which gives it the opportunity to chair meetings and set agendas as the bloc grapples to find a common migration policy.

In the Austrian proposal, asylum requests would be made in refugee camps outside Europe to “a sort of mobile commission”, Kickl said.

Only exiles from countries that directly border the European Union would be able to make their asylum requests on EU territory.

The issue of migration and asylum rights in Europe has raised tensions among the 28 member states and will be on the agenda of a meeting of EU interior ministers on Thursday in Innsbruck.

In the short term, Kickl hopes to propose to his colleagues to establish “return centres” in willing countries outside the EU, for people refused asylum who could not be immediately repatriated to their country of origin.

The proposed changes to asylum rules have been developed in a draft document of the Austrian presidency dated earlier this month, which has been published in the press these last few days.

The draft claims that among asylum seekers, “a lot of them are particularly drawn to ideologies that are hostile to freedom or which are prone to violence”.

It proposes to grant asylum only to “those who respect the values of the EU and its rights and fundamental liberties”.

(11. 07. 2018 via thelocal.at)

Austria's Interior Minister Herbert Kickl (L), Italy's Interior Minister and deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini (R) and Austria's Vice Chancellor Heinz-Christian Strache (C) arrive to give a joint press conference at the end of their meeting at the Viminale palace in Rome on June 20, 2018. (Photo by Alberto PIZZOLI / AFP)        (Photo credit should read ALBERTO PIZZOLI/AFP/Getty Images)

Austria’s Interior Minister Herbert Kickl (L), Italy’s Interior Minister and deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini (R) and Austria’s Vice Chancellor Heinz-Christian Strache (C) arrive to give a joint press conference at the end of their meeting at the Viminale palace in Rome on June 20, 2018. (Photo by Alberto PIZZOLI / AFP) (Photo credit should read ALBERTO PIZZOLI/AFP/Getty Images)

Posted in European cooperation |

Poland will contribute to NATO’s ‘Four 30s’ readiness plan: defence minister

Poland will contribute to enhancing the combat readiness of NATO troops in Europe as part of the alliance’s new “Four 30s” initiative, the country’s defence minister has said.

Speaking on the first day of a two-day summit of NATO leaders in Brussels, Mariusz Błaszczak said that NATO’s US-designed “Four 30s” European readiness initiative “is a very important project because it guarantees an effective response to a crisis situation.”

“We are very active in supporting our allies because we expect solidarity from them,” Błaszczak said, as quoted by public broadcaster Polish Radio’s IAR news agency.

Heads of state and government from 29 NATO countries meeting in Brussels on Wednesday approved the “Four 30s” plan to have 30 troop battalions, 30 aircraft squadrons and 30 warships ready to deploy within 30 days by 2020 to combat any threats, amid fears of an aggressive Russia, the IAR news agency reported.

(12. 07. 2018 – via thenews.pl)

maxresdefault

Posted in Transatlantic relations |

TCPA Summer Seminar – Keynote speaker

Our keynote speaker will be Géza Jeszenszky this year.

He will start his lecture on Friday (31st August) at 9:30, but as we hope he is joining us on Thursday evening. It will be very interesting for all of us!

Mr Jeszenszky (Budapest, 1941), is D. Phil.,historian, graduated from Eötvös Loránd University in Budapest. From 1976 to 2011, he taught at what is today Corvinus University of Budapest. Was a Fulbright Visiting Professor at U.C. Santa Barbara in 1984-86. Taught the history of international relations and of Central Europe at numerous other universities in the U.S. and Europe. He was Foreign Minister of Hungary in thefirst non Communist government (1990–94), Ambassador to the United States of America in 1998–2002, and in 2011-2014 to Norway and Iceland. He is the author of numerous publicationson history and foreign policy, his latest book in English is Post-Communist Europe and Its National/Ethnic Problems (Budapest, 2009).

Jeszenszky_Geza_0

Posted in News and events |

Germany’s Merkel survives bruising battle with rival Seehofer

On the face of it Angela Merkel has pulled off the compromise of her career.

She has quelled the mutiny that threatened to destroy her coalition government. And, it seems, pacified her rebellious interior minister, who was still raging as he went into last-ditch emergency talks last night.

Horst Seehofer, who also leads Mrs Merkel’s Bavarian coalition partners, had snarled that he wasn’t going to be thrown out by the woman he had put in power.

Later in the night he emerged beaming and triumphant to announce they had cut a deal.

But this is no victory for Angela Merkel.

The row, and the subsequent solution, have exposed the frailty of her position and may surprise those who still venerate the German chancellor as a defender of liberal values and open borders.

The number of people seeking asylum in Germany has fallen sharply since the refugee crisis of 2015.

Yet the row that has dominated Mrs Merkel’s every waking hour for weeks now has focused not on the integration of the million or so people who are already trying to make new lives in Germany, but on the rather quiet border itself.

Merkel averts government split on migrants
Chancellor Merkel: Germany’s shrewd survivor
More specifically, on what to do with the relatively small number of people who arrive there, having already registered or sought asylum in another EU country first.

Image caption
The number of people applying for asylum in Germany has fallen dramatically since 2015, to 78,000 in the first five months of 2018
The deal announced late on Monday night is short on detail, but Mrs Merkel appears to have reincarnated an idea raised during her previous administration: transit centres that are located inside the German border but, much like airports, are not technically on German soil.

From here migrants can be repatriated to the EU country where they first arrived.

The compromise only works if a bilateral agreement exists with those countries. If there isn’t one, then – the leaders agreed – people will simply be turned away at the Austrian border, subject to an agreement with the Austrian government.

Sebastian Kurz: The Austrian leader sharing power with the far right
Is the crisis over?
The Austrian government does not seem terribly impressed with the solution and has, in turn, announced plans to “protect” Austria’s southern border.

Image caption
Horst Seehofer (L) will visit Austrian Chancellor Sebastian Kurz to discuss the German compromise on Thursday
And it won’t be long before the infighting breaks out again in Germany’s troubled coalition.

Mrs Merkel is gambling on her centre-left partner, the Social Democrat SPD, accepting the deal – although they have opposed such transit centres in the past.

More from Jenny:

Merkel’s Bavarian ally threatens migrant mutiny
Moment of reckoning for chancellor
Last night the party leaders reacted relatively calmly.

Because if one thing trumps an illiberal migration policy for the SPD, it is the terrifying spectre of fresh elections. The SPD leadership cannot afford to let the coalition collapse. But its youth wing, which never wanted this alliance, is furious. As are some of its MPs.

It’s tempting to wonder why Mrs Merkel did not just accept Mr Seehofer’s initial offer of resignation last night.

She must have been itching to sack him ever since his first threat two weeks ago to act alone and start turning people away at the border. After all, she had the support of her party leadership and polls suggest that the majority of Germans prefer her European solution to his unilateral one.

But reports suggest that the mood among some of her MPs has soured. They are worried.

It’s not just in pre-election Bavaria that anti-migrant rhetoric has borne fruit.

When the leaders of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) crowed on Tuesday that they were “hunting the union, driving it before us” they were not entirely wrong in claiming triumph over the CDU and CSU.

Mrs Merkel has failed to achieve her original dream – a Europe that would truly share the responsibility for sheltering asylum seekers.

At last week’s summit of EU leaders she thrashed out a much tougher policy, working alongside populist governments and other leaders who cherish national interests above those of the European Union.

Exhausted and embattled, Angela Merkel is having to adapt to a changed Europe.

(3. 77 2018 via bbc.com)

Posted in European cooperation |
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